Состоялось внеочередное заседание общемосковского научного семинара "МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКИЕ МЕТОДЫ АНАЛИЗА РЕШЕНИЙ В ЭКОНОМИКЕ, БИЗНЕСЕ И ПОЛИТИКЕ".

Докладчик: Hasan Ersel
Доклад: Vulnerability to External Shocks - The Case of Turkey

Аннотация:

The purpose of this presentation is to take Turkey’s experience with the 2008+ global crisis as an example to inquire the problem of vulnerability of a country to external shocks. Two questions asked: What are the major channels, through which a country can be affected by an external economic shock? Second, how the reaction of the policy makers (government) to such a shock can be analyzed? It is suggested that the latter question can be fruitfully answered by assuming policy makers are taking decision under complete uncertainty. It is shown that the reactions of the Turkish authorities can be explained by using Hurwicz Rule

Working language: English

Файл презентации:   ERSEL-VULNERABILITY TO EXTERNAL SHOCKS-HSE CONFERENCE (JUNE 8, 2011).ppt