Try Your Hand at Predicting the 2024 Nobel Prize Winner in Economics

The Faculty of Economic Sciences is launching its annual prediction contest. On October 14, the Nobel Committee will announce the winners of the Sveriges Riksbank Alfred Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences live on air. You have time to prepare and explore the landscape of contemporary economic thought. What topics and areas are considered particularly important and promising at the moment? Anyone can win.

Like many laureates before her, Claudia Goldin signed a chair at the laureates' Get together at the Nobel Prize Museum in Stockholm on 6 December 2023.

© Nobel Prize Outreach. Photo: Clément Morin.

 

To enter, leave your prediction on the website by 11:45 CEST on October 14. You can submit up to three names of potential winners. After the winners are officially announced, we will post the results of our prediction contest.

Each year, a few people make the most accurate predictions. In 2023, five people predicted Claudia Goldin; in 2022, three people hit the jackpot; and in 2021, two people correctly named all three winners. In total, 19 contestants got at least one of them right. And one of last year's contestants, Tatul Hayrapetyan, correctly predicted the winner of the prize two years in a row.

With a little preparation, anyone can try to guess the winner. Clarivate honors scholars for groundbreaking research in economics and recognises the most cited papers. Since the rating was created in 2002, more than 70 scientists from the think tank's rating have won the Nobel Prize.

This year, Clarivate recognised Janet Currie for her ‘pioneering economic analysis of child development,’ Partha Dasgupta for ‘integrating nature and its resources into the human economy,’ and Paolo Mauro for ‘empirical research on the impact of corruption on investment and economic growth.’ It is worth remembering, however, that this is not an accurate prediction. Last year, for example, Clarivate missed the chance to predict a Nobel Prize winner. 

The winners of the prediction contest not only get to show off their expertise, but also win a book. Follow the link and test yourself.

The prediction contest was established at HSE in 2021 in honor of the memory of Prof. Andrei Bremzen, a talented economist and populariser of science. Back in 2004, he started such a quiz within the walls of NES, and now FES continues this tradition.

 

Predict!